Joseph27, As always your comments are well written and well thought out. I would argue that there are loads of Americans that don't consider themselves to be slices of happy American US apple pie, but rather feel isolated, poor, left out, and very un patriotic. The poor in America, as some very good scholarship has pointed out, oftentime looks, acts, and feels like tribal and ethnic minority groups in lots of other countries. America is no Camelot. It has been, and will be, quite possibly one of the most violent nations on earth. And believe me, Americans find a lot more about to worry over than credit cards and money. Also, US media and news are, picture by picture, the most violently graphic news programs in the West. America is not sheltered from the World, it is simply a long way away from the reality of the world. However, you are right, America is, or has been, largely uninterested. I feel the US is on a precipice, either becoming increasing involved...not just the CIA and spec ops and embassies, but the whole nation, or there will be a mandate to let "the Arabs" do what they want, just don't get close to our shores or you're a goner. Believe me, this sentiment is strong. Getting bombed by bin Laden cuz we sell f16s to saudi Arabia? Have two air force bases there? Fine, take it Middle east, revert back to the 1880s tribal warfare systems, see if we care, we can open up Russian and domestic oil fields.." Or so the thinking may go..
You are quite right about a major shift in conflict. Gone are the days of "country against country" war. Civil war and ethnic/religious/cultural war are the de facto realities moving forward. Clearly, terrorists most often fight for a cause and a country, not just a country (Northern Ireland, Sri Lanka, eastern Indonesia being some exceptions, to some extent) Clearly, while terrorists are clearly murderous, there is no doubt as to why, say Osama, is opposed to the US. US forces in Saudi Arabia, where Mhd. lived, and the US support of Isreali military (Isreal is the US largest nondomestic expense item, up to 20 billion a year, plus no taxes on Isreali goods and services).
IF the US was to completely bow out of the world stage, there is no other country more capable of creating an ultra secure state. The US has the money, technology, and military to do so, along with extremelely favorable geography (ie Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, friendly Mexico and Canada)
The real question then is, what then? What would the world look like with a US foreign policy similar to the 1920s? 1) The UN and other countries would complain that we are not "doing enough" as opposed to "too much" now, 2) who would the Bin Ladens, etc, turn on then? IF the US is not a target, can we assume greedy and evil men will retire? Should we let Hussein take Kuwait? Perfect a missile defense system, deploy all military to the Americas, and let Europe Africa and the East do what they will?
Right or wrong, the US believes that pluralist democracies tend to do a few things better than other governmenttal systems, like NOT wage international and internal wars, accept minorities, womens suffrage, etc etc. In the absence of that, yes, the US has supported military regimes, under the US thumb, over communist and anarchist rule.
The US tried to bring freedom tothe world, stability, peace, and non-Communism, since WWII. Right or wrong, it tried. At the end of the day, at least you must admit, the US tried. The price, some would argue, might have been too high. The fact is, if half of China, and half of the middle east was Russian, like most 70 and 80s scenarios pointed out was a possibility...the biggest detriment to the world was expensive oil. Nuclear and or attritive warfare was always a last endgame.
I guess what I'm saying, we are all living in a post WWII world wherein the US has become the "New Rome" with its own ideals, and agendas. What, however, are the alternatives? Do nothing, let another Hitler rise...or rebuild Europe with the Marshall Plan. Pull out of Europe, or halt Soviet aggression, there and all over? The fact is, bin ladens and anti USers....the US presence can all be blamed on Joe Stalin. The US began fighting a war that it thought was inevitable, a cold or hot war against the bitterest and most opposite of enemies, leninist communism.
Since 1989, however, the US has not refocused our revamped its way of thinking. In fact, as many scholars have pointed out, the last time American truly changed its foreign policy was Dec. 7, 1941. The US is "still out there" after the fall of the USSR and still out there before and after Sep 11, its just a matter of degrees. Sep 11, in my opinion, will prove to be far more important for other countries than for the US. So, the US will have a far reaching involvement in world affairs (had that since spring of 1942) will have lots of security at home (so now we'll act like Europe in that regard, big deal, airports and internal security were a joke previously)
How Saudi Arabia, Jordon, Syria, Palestine, Isreal, Pakistan, India, and China resolve and move forward with warfare in its backyards will be far more critical than the US having bombers and marines deployed. Some fringe "security" of the US is threatened, the US is not threatened. The last time the US was truly threatened...WWII via Japan (but really just attacked, not threatened as in we were worried about annexation) Soviet aggression (cuban missile, Krushchev beating his shoe on the UNpodium saying "we will bury you, we will bury you") AND the War of 1812.
Three "Events" in the last 200 odd years. pretty safe all around, I'd say. Germany has had no less than 7 fundamental shifts in governance since then, the Brits one would they truly de-powered the monarchy and retrenched from global empirism prior to and after WWII, etc etc. America is stable, has been, will be, all in all.
The question is, do you really want the US to pull up all its tents?
My "thesis" is that IF the US did just that, those same people and countries would be clamoring for US involvement right after the Northern India is attacked by a patchwork Muslim raid, right after Hussein annexes every damn gulf country, and right after the Sudan warlords spill over to even more surrounding countries.
Within ten years, technology and US and North & South American oil reserves will free the US from such a need on middle eastern oil, not withstanding a major technology breakthrough in solar and alternative fuel capacity and storage. What then? How then can the US justify any presence in the Gulf? How can they now? Is the US support of Isreal and fair market oil prices worth the World Trade Center?
What will the US do if a "bin Laden" gets and uses a nuclear device, in the US? In London? In Jerusalem?
While US involvement in the world is troubling at best, problematic at worst...what then are the alternatives?? Pull out, turn to a Japanese model, pull all troops, presence, and analysts out and only concentrate on national perimeter defense?
My guess is that barring a major religious and drastic withdrawal of fundamental religious extremism (bin Laden, KKK, (Tim McVeigh, they guy that blew up 440 plus US federal workers, mostly middle aged men, young mothers, and children, was a God loving anarchist that thought his country sold out to minorities and jews) then this trail of tears for the world has just begun, and those to suffer most, will be, as historically, women and children of poor nations and tribes.
Same song, same f**king dance.