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Author Topic: Govt turns up supply tap to cool property fever  (Read 1068 times)
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« on: 09 November 2009, 0:15:56 am »
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Govt turns up supply tap to cool property fever

10 new sites signal intent to keep home prices affordable

By EMILYN YAP

THE government yesterday fired a clear signal that it intends to keep private homes affordable by announcing its land sales programme for the first half of 2010 earlier than expected.

The 10 new residential sites introduced through the confirmed and reserve lists will allow developers to build many more homes - some of these in executive condominiums (ECs). There will also be more plots in less pricey regions.

'The large number of sites in the confirmed and reserve lists shows how keen the government is to cool the residential property market,' observed DTZ South-east Asia research head Chua Chor Hoon.

The Ministry of National Development (MND) reinstated the confirmed list with eight residential sites - four are new while the other four are from the H2 2009 government land sales (GLS) programme. Of these eight parcels, three could be launched in January alone.

The government puts up sites on the confirmed list for tender according to scheduled dates. It suspended this list last October as the property market weakened, but recently decided to reinstate it as private home demand and prices surged in the last few months.

The eight parcels on the confirmed list can hold an estimated 2,925 units. This is close to the largest potential supply of 3,014 units from the confirmed list in H2 2007, since the confirmed list and reserve list system began in H2 2001.

The upcoming confirmed list is striking not just for the number of sites on it. Two of the eight parcels are designated for ECs - a hybrid of public and private housing with resale and other restrictions.

These developments cater particularly to those who can afford more than an HDB flat but are still priced out of private property.

MND also boosted the reserve list for H1 2010 with six new residential sites which can generate another 2,455 units. Sites on this list are launched only when developers successfully apply for them.

With 16 residential sites and two mixed-used sites in all, the reserve list will be able to supply 7,625 units.

Together, the confirmed and reserve lists can potentially bring 10,550 housing units into the market. This is the highest number from any half-yearly government land sales (GLS) programme since the reserve list system began in H2 2001.

Another notable point: the 26 residential and mixed-use sites on the confirmed and reserve lists are all in the outside central region (OCR) and rest of central region (RCR), where cheaper homes can be built. Of the potential supply of 10,550 units, 9,220 will be in OCR while the remaining 1,330 will be in CCR.

'There is a balanced spread of residential sites on the confirmed and reserve lists under the GLS programme for H1 2010, offering a variety of choices for the development of affordable homes,' the Real Estate Developers' Association of Singapore (Redas) said. 'We believe that there is adequate supply of housing in the pipeline to meet future demand.'

As at Q3 this year, some 59,700 private homes were already in the pipeline. Of these, 34,120 units had not been sold.

MND typically releases details on the GLS programme in December. Yesterday's announcement came weeks earlier than expected.

According to Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) land sales and administration senior group director Choy Chan Pong, the market has been waiting for updates since National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said in September that the confirmed list would be reinstated.

'Since people say there is some anxiety about housing supply, it's better to tell people now,' he explained.

Cushman & Wakefield Singapore managing director Donald Han reckoned that the announcement also sends a 'don't panic' signal to developers seeking to replenish their land banks. The likely launch of three sites from the confirmed list in January next year could help, because 'the longer the wait, the higher is the pent-up demand and the potential premium pricing,', he said.

MND did not introduce any commercial, hotel or white sites to the confirmed list for H1 2010. But it did add two new hotel plots to the reserve list. The reserve list will have five commercial sites, two white sites, 10 hotel sites and one commercial-and- residential site.

The ministry also underlined that more land could come from other government agencies. Planned supply from these agencies in H1 2010 can yield commercial space with a gross floor area of around 43,000 square metres.

'The government will continue to monitor the demand-and-supply conditions not only for the residential sector, but also for various property sectors. We will monitor it closely and review the GLS programme accordingly to ensure that supply is more than sufficient to meet demand,' URA's Mr Choy said.

The market had been prepared for new land supply to be introduced and major property counters managed to post gains on the stock market yesterday. City Developments shares, for instance, rose 17 cents to close at $10.02.

 
 
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« on: 09 November 2009, 0:15:56 am »
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was not
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« Reply #1 on: 09 November 2009, 8:22:04 am »
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The rentals are declining already now as the supply is too much. What will happen next? Rentals will be lower than monthly mortgage payments... This will lead to slow and steady decline of property prices.

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was is
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« Reply #2 on: 09 November 2009, 19:11:37 pm »
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The rentals are declining already now as the supply is too much. What will happen next? Rentals will be lower than monthly mortgage payments... This will lead to slow and steady decline of property prices.



In your dreams.

This is Singapore not the sand land and its on the up.
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to was is
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« Reply #3 on: 09 November 2009, 19:47:10 pm »
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Why don't you just go away.
« Last Edit: 09 November 2009, 20:02:41 pm by BoardManager » Logged
was is
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« Reply #4 on: 09 November 2009, 22:27:47 pm »
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Thanks bro,like I say, i am watching the transactions closely especially around D10. The next year will be interesting to say the least.  I am not one to listen to theories from the motor mouths who have no clue about what goes on here.  And I am not local and nor am I an agent.  Just someone who sits in the sidelines, watches and observes the market. 
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Kubes.SG
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« Reply #5 on: 10 November 2009, 0:04:17 am »
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Thanks bro,like I say, i am watching the transactions closely especially around D10. The next year will be interesting to say the least.  I am not one to listen to theories from the motor mouths who have no clue about what goes on here.  And I am not local and nor am I an agent.  Just someone who sits in the sidelines, watches and observes the market. 

... and drives around in a Hyundai Matrix.    Roll Eyes
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The object in life is not to be on the side of the Majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the Insane.
Another cheap punt
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« Reply #6 on: 10 November 2009, 5:17:35 am »
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Thanks bro,like I say, i am watching the transactions closely especially around D10. The next year will be interesting to say the least.  I am not one to listen to theories from the motor mouths who have no clue about what goes on here.  And I am not local and nor am I an agent.  Just someone who sits in the sidelines, watches and observes the market. 

... and drives around in a Hyundai Matrix.    Roll Eyes

In Asia, sometimes looks can be deceiving, many millionaire can dress like beggar but has much more money than an expat who extend his credit beyond his means...

Case in example.. the old lady that scarvenge for cardboard turn out to be a rather rich independent lady....such like kinded individual are reported in HK also...a strange phenomenon that most expat find out to comprehend

So try not to be so judgemental..Kubesy boy
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Kubes.SG
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« Reply #7 on: 10 November 2009, 7:39:09 am »
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That is a very romantic and idyllic view.  But it is just not true.  As a rule consumers in Asia are much more obsessed with displaying their "wealth" than is generally the case in the developed world.  

I have lived and worked a number of decades in Asia and I know how important face and status symbols are, and keeping up with the peers.  Mrs Kubes and I lived in Japan for many years and we really got exposed to this obsession of displaying wealth while there.  It is exactly the same here.  The big awakening for me as to how obsessive people can get is an interesting story.  One of Mrs Kubes' business associates went to Paris for business, and his daughter asked him for a Louis Vuitton bag.  When he presented it to her she rejected it as it was not the tan coloured style covered in the LV logos, but black leather with a single small LV logo embossed on the bottom corner.  Very under-stated.  The daughter was devastated, the father was disappointed, and Mrs Kubes was the winner, as her associate decided to give it to her instead.  We checked and it was valued just over US$3,000.  

If "was is" is proudly driving around SG in a Hyundai Matrix that is because owning a car is a big deal and status symbol amongst his peers.  

If you don't believe me about this obession in Asia and Singapore about new money displaying its wealth and the importance of status symbols, take 5 mins to read this....

Why brand obsession is the new status quo
The Cult of the Luxury Brand by Radha Chadha and Paul Husband

Reviewed by Kelly Nuxoll

Thirty years ago, Chinese businessmen were wearing Mao suits. Now their suits are Armani. Ferragamo shoes are de rigueur for South Korean women. Ninety-four percent of Tokyo women in their 20s own a Louis Vuitton. Of the US$80 billion luxury-brand industry, more than half of sales come from Asian consumers - despite the fact that purchases are often out of proportion to buyers' actual incomes.

In a surprisingly compelling read, Radha Chadha and Paul Husband, a marketing expert and retail-development consultant respectively, offer a sociological interpretation of Asians' mania for luxury brands: with old social hierarchies collapsing, luxury brands indicate one's place in the new pecking order.

Chadha and Husband are primarily interested in the phenomenon, so they can tell readers and, presumably, future clients how to take advantage of it. The book opens with an investigation into why luxury brands became so popular in Japan, Hong Kong, mainland China, South Korea, India and Southeast Asia. The bulk is devoted to case studies of each country, teasing out drivers among different markets. (Japanese are compelled to fit in, for instance, whereas South Koreans are socially competitive.)

The final section looks at how companies can cultivate consumers in Asia, inspiring what Chadha and Husband call a "luxeplosion". The authors' own fascination with their subject transforms what might have been a marketing manual into a nuanced sociological portrait of Asia in its first flush of economic power.

At the center of the desire for luxury is the question of identity: by donning high-end Western clothes, Asian consumers are literally trying on the costume of power. On the one hand, these trappings point to the thrill of having arrived; on the other, they suggest a crisis of confidence. Many women turn to Western designer clothes in part because they don't know how to dress otherwise, the authors observe.

Not long out of the sari or the cheongsam, women buy entire outfits copied straight from a magazine, including bags and shoes, and store them in their closets as ensembles so they don't forget what goes together.

Clever marketing can capitalize on the blank slate offered by many Asian countries - especially mainland China, which spent much of the 20th century cut off from the rest of the world. "Play god and create your own epidemic," Radha and Husband encourage. Among other techniques, they suggest hiring people with prominent social networks to invite their friends to luxury goods parties, recruiting celebrities to wear the brand, and wooing journalists to write favorably about their products.

In effect, the task is one of education - good marketers must first introduce consumers to why their products are valuable, and then create a curriculum of desire. When luxury goods have moved from exclusivity to must-haves to a way of life, then marketing has triumphed and the cult has reached is apotheosis.

It would be unfair to suggest that marketing is the only reason for luxury goods' success in Asia (although it has done a damn fine job). As Radha and Husband describe it, luxury goods are simply meeting a desire that is already there. Especially in countries that emphasize "face" and bringing honor to the family, easy-to-recognize designer labels are a welcome opportunity to flaunt wealth.

In addition, most Asian countries practice "gifting", and luxury goods of obvious high value flatter both the giver and the receiver. They are particularly popular where governments are trying to crack down on corruption, as a watch or wallet is discreet and can be bought in cash. And because they are so often part of political and business transactions, luxury goods are as popular with men as with women.

It would seem that everyone - from bored housewives, to pampered mistresses, to office ladies celebrating their independence, to high-schoolers keeping up with trends, to young executives seeking to impress, to captains of industry enjoying the view from the top - has reason to purchase luxury goods, leading Chadha and Husband to extol the "democratization" of luxe.

Yet in their exuberance, the authors fail to consider seriously the destructive side-effects of an addiction to high-end Western brands. While they acknowledge many middle-class Asians have not developed a savings habit, max their credit cards (and, in some cases, commit suicide over the debt), live with their parents into adulthood rather than forgo a disposable income, scrimp on food and necessities to afford luxuries, get plastic surgery even at young ages to keep up with an idealized image of beauty, and engage in freelance prostitution to pay for the season's new bag, Chadha and Husband dismiss objections to the cult of luxury as moralizing.

They are particularly disdainful of South Korea's failed campaign to discourage consumption of Western luxury goods on the grounds that it is anti-nationalistic, putting Koreans' hard-earned cash right back into the coffers of foreign businesses.

"Should luxury brands be discouraged?" they write. "South Korea's experience points to an emphatic no. You can't stop human nature. New money will always display its wealth."

Chadha and Husband reserve their ire for the multimillion-dollar industry of counterfeit luxury goods. This shadow market - itself a testament to human nature and an entrepreneurial spirit - is propelled by the same motivations as the real luxury-goods market, with wares at sometimes one-hundredth the price. "People don't see buying a counterfeit products as something illegal," the authors report incredulously, lamenting the counterfeit industry's lack of ethics - after all, it's marketing that has done all the heavy lifting.

Yet even "genuine fakes", identical in quality to the originals, cannot stop the juggernaut of the luxury-goods industry. As Radhi and Husband are happy to report, eventually consumers will abandon the market stalls and enter the flagships to purchase the real things. When all is said and done, the experience of the stores themselves may be the real key to the luxury industry's success.

After years of doing without, Asian shoppers are finding that the only thing that feels nicer than a made-to-order cashmere suit is entering a citadel of Western culture, flashing one's Fendi wallet, and being waited on by an attractive, deferential clerk.

The Cult of the Luxury Brand: Inside Asia's Love Affair with Luxury by Radha Chadha and Paul Husband. Nicholas Brealey International: London, Boston (November 2006). ISBN-10:1904838057. Price US$35, 320 pages. issue
« Last Edit: 10 November 2009, 7:47:56 am by Kubes.SG » Logged

The object in life is not to be on the side of the Majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the Insane.
poi
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« Reply #8 on: 10 November 2009, 8:27:16 am »
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I know of many old folks who are rich but prefer to walk or take public transport instead of taking the taxi.  It's the younger generation who likes to show off their wealth.
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surely u jest?
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« Reply #9 on: 10 November 2009, 8:36:57 am »
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I know of many old folks who are rich but prefer to walk or take public transport instead of taking the taxi. 

on which galaxy is this phenomena apparent?
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singular
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« Reply #10 on: 16 November 2009, 9:49:59 am »
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 phenomenon
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