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ExpatSingapore Message Board 27 May 2012, 23:43:42 pm *
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Author Topic: Chinese RMB to Appreciate? By When?  (Read 3744 times)
deserve it
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« Reply #30 on: 12 April 2011, 9:10:53 am »
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"...China won't let rmb appreciate (much) anytime soon, it can't afford to..."

It also can't afford to continue the peg either!

China screwed either way and they know it. 

If they continue the peg inflation starts to get out of control.

If they don't continue the peg their massive holdings of USTs lose significant value pretty much overnight.

F****d either way!!  They will choose the latter as it is the lesser of two evils

I have one PRC staff who grumbles about the fact that they are trapped on USD holdings.
They can't dump them, but they can't stop buying more as they need to artificially keep their own currency suppressed & don't want to devalue their reserves.
Looks like they created their own problem. When you owe the bank $500 you have the problem, when you owe the bank 5million, the bank has the problem.
How could they not see this coming?

The US govt can't seem to stop spending more than they earn. Not sure if it's because simple accounting is too difficult for them.
 
US and China deserve each other....
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ExpatSingapore Message Board
« Reply #30 on: 12 April 2011, 9:10:53 am »
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P.O.D.
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« Reply #31 on: 16 April 2011, 23:26:45 pm »
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The US will likely allow its dollar to appreciate for as long as PRC manipulates the price of its Yuan. I think if there is a showdown PRC will lose.

You can invest in Yuan with Singapore banks but why bother, the banks will be the winners with huge spreads.

You can buy Yuan from money Exchangers and sell the same way, with a lesser spread and more profit.
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P.O.D.
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« Reply #32 on: 18 April 2011, 22:33:38 pm »
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The US will likely allow its dollar to appreciate for as long as PRC manipulates the price of its Yuan. I think if there is a showdown PRC will lose.

You can invest in Yuan with Singapore banks but why bother, the banks will be the winners with huge spreads.

You can buy Yuan from money Exchangers and sell the same way, with a lesser spread and more profit.

Should read "allow its dollar to depreciate.."

But if Euro collapses, which should happen when Spain defaults, the US dollar may prevail, there being no alternative.  Wink

The Euro may end up being a currency of Germany, France, Belgium and Holland only.  Shocked

Sooner or later, it must collapse because member nations not inside Eurozone will not pay for the maintenance of poor nations traditionally focused on tourism, like Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy..... it has always been the case. They joined the Euro knowing it was a gravy train and they intended to ride it for as long as possible.  Cry

Every good thing must end however the threats implicit in EU membership will make divorce messy, perhaps bloody.

Italy's failure to stem illegal immigration is not unexpected. They view such a massive influx a transit, which will bring huge politically correct EU subsidies, paid for by low grade politicians from UK and elsewhere.  Angry

Only France is seriously tackling the chaos and upheaval and potentially explosive costs of upkeep associated with a borderless Europe. They deserve more support from UKs poor excuse for politicians.  Angry
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anon
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« Reply #33 on: 21 April 2011, 20:37:46 pm »
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CNY has been depreciating vs Singapore dollar.  If ur base currency is S$ stay there, if u are US$ based then CNY makes sense
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