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ExpatSingapore Message Board 12 February 2012, 23:53:20 pm *
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Author Topic: Price correction -3 to -5 % this year  (Read 6068 times)
Slowdown
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« on: 10 June 2010, 22:11:30 pm »
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I read the article on Singapore private property this morning in Today paper. Here are the fast facts:

- Sales volumes in SG have dropped over 70 % and over 80 % in CBD

- Next 3 to 6 months will be further slowdown because of World Cup, Hungry Ghost Month and Youth Olympics

- Prices will go down -3 to -5 per cent during the next 6 months

This follows the logic very well: property prices will dive 6 months later than stock markets, which have been taking a beating for several weeks now.

The peak is here now. Hold on to your hats, were going down soon...


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ExpatSingapore Message Board
« on: 10 June 2010, 22:11:30 pm »
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haar haha
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« Reply #1 on: 11 June 2010, 7:36:12 am »
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I read the article on Singapore private property this morning in Today paper. Here are the fast facts:

- Sales volumes in SG have dropped over 70 % and over 80 % in CBD

- Next 3 to 6 months will be further slowdown because of World Cup, Hungry Ghost Month and Youth Olympics

- Prices will go down -3 to -5 per cent during the next 6 months

This follows the logic very well: property prices will dive 6 months later than stock markets, which have been taking a beating for several weeks now.

The peak is here now. Hold on to your hats, were going down soon...




Doubt it. Stop trying to talk down the market.  Airport !
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well...
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« Reply #2 on: 11 June 2010, 7:56:25 am »
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Wall Street rose 3% last night, oil is up and gold is down - all good signs for investor confidence.
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Slowdown
Guest
« Reply #3 on: 11 June 2010, 9:15:23 am »
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I read the article on Singapore private property this morning in Today paper. Here are the fast facts:

- Sales volumes in SG have dropped over 70 % and over 80 % in CBD

- Next 3 to 6 months will be further slowdown because of World Cup, Hungry Ghost Month and Youth Olympics

- Prices will go down -3 to -5 per cent during the next 6 months

This follows the logic very well: property prices will dive 6 months later than stock markets, which have been taking a beating for several weeks now.

The peak is here now. Hold on to your hats, were going down soon...


Doubt it. Stop trying to talk down the market.  Airport !

Errr... Those were not my words thicko, it was an newspaper article. Why don't you write them and ask why are they deflating the bubble since you are so worried.

Now, do why have any intelligent contribution to this topic?


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slow indeed
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« Reply #4 on: 11 June 2010, 9:22:42 am »
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Errr... Those were not my words thicko, it was an newspaper article. Why don't you write them and ask why are they deflating the bubble since you are so worried.

Now, do why have any intelligent contribution to this topic?

Er, those better be your words. If those are exact quotes of the newspaper article, then the writers there need to go back for basic English lessons.

Why don't you post the article here instead of mutilating the language and playing fast and loose with the facts?
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Slowdown
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« Reply #5 on: 11 June 2010, 9:40:07 am »
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Errr... Those were not my words thicko, it was an newspaper article. Why don't you write them and ask why are they deflating the bubble since you are so worried.

Now, do why have any intelligent contribution to this topic?

Er, those better be your words. If those are exact quotes of the newspaper article, then the writers there need to go back for basic English lessons.

Why don't you post the article here instead of mutilating the language and playing fast and loose with the facts?

Because almost everyone has read it yesterday, they just don't admit it.  Grin

Here it is:

SINGAPORE - The local property market is in for a correction in the coming months, said industry players, citing tell-tale signs like a plateau in home prices and a drop in transaction volumes.


The Singapore Institute of Surveyors and Valuers (SISV) said there were only 899 caveats lodged for condominiums in the first three weeks of last month. There were 3,060 for the whole of April.

And although new condominium projects are still doing well, property agents said homes sales in the secondary or resale market have dropped by up to 20 per cent recently.

Dennis Wee Group said buyers are becoming more cautious going by last month's sales figures.

"Instead of seeing a 30 per cent increase in transactions as in the month before, I only saw a marginal 3.5 per cent increase," said Mr Chris Koh, director at Dennis Wee Properties.

"A lot of buyers are pulling their handbrakes. What they feel today is that the seller is asking for too high a price and 'if I am not in a hurry, why not sit and wait?'" he added.

Industry data from SISV showed sales falling across various districts as of the middle of last month.

The prime districts of 9, 10 and 11 recorded a 76 per cent drop, while the downtown city area saw the sharpest decline of 88 per cent.

Analysts also expect transaction volumes to fall by 5 to 10 per cent due to the World Cup which begins tomorrow.

Meanwhile, ECG Property said it now takes longer to close a transaction. It used to be about 45 days before, but is now up to 80 days.

Industry players expect the market correction to last between three and six months, and some said home prices could trend down by 3 to 5 per cent on average during this period.

"Some of these prices are over book-keeping value where some banks may not even match some of the asking prices today," said Mr Eric Cheng, chief executive officer of ECG Property.

"That also shows that these prices could be a speculation price instead of a true reflection price. I think the market is going through a slight correction," he said.

Analysts said prices may also be capped by more land supply due to be released by the Government. Other risk factors include volatile stock markets and the European debt crisis.



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continued
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« Reply #6 on: 13 June 2010, 10:15:00 am »
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An eerily quiet May

But while buyers are subdued, developers keep on bidding ...
by Colin Tan Jun 04, 2010

The ongoing European debt crisis has had greater success in cooling Singapore's red-hot private housing market than a cluster of anti-speculation measures or even the recent announcement of a sharply-accelerated Government land supply programme.

Show flats, which at times have resembled crowded scenes at a sale, have grown eerily quiet. This is partly because many developers have delayed their project launches; but there is no denying the huge dent in market confidence.

Compared to a very vibrant April, feedback from housing agents described May as a total washout.

One agent who closed six deals for completed properties in the secondary market in April, drew a blank for the whole month of May. Agents relate that some of their peers who normally guard their turf fiercely, are now more than willing to co-broke.

Apartment owners are also starting to get more unsolicited calls asking them if they are willing to sell their properties. Opening their letter boxes, they find them filled with brochures and flyers. Their mobile phones are receiving frequent SMSes from unfamiliar agents.

Especially prone are those who have bought properties over the past six months. For them, the scare tactics begin. Owners, especially those known to be active sellers, are urged to sell their properties before the market begins to correct.

These efforts, coming consistently from almost every other agent they meet, are beginning to take effect and are really giving some owners the jitters.

It is a nervous market out there, especially for those who are highly geared.

However, amid all these desperate moves by agents, developers continue to bid higher prices for housing sites.

In the most recent tender, a 99-year condo site at Upper Serangoon Road, close to the Potong Pasir MRT station, received the second highest bid price ever in Singapore's Rest of Central region.

This result can mean two things - either developers have a different perspective on the market, or, they are confident that they can transfer ownership of the individual apartments to investors before any price correction can take place.


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drama queen
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« Reply #7 on: 14 June 2010, 12:10:42 pm »
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Hold on to your hats, were going down soon...

Whoah - a 3 to 5 percent correction by 2011? Hang on to your hats!!!
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if japan
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« Reply #8 on: 14 June 2010, 12:25:40 pm »
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If japans new PM is all over the news channels predicting a problem in their economy then lookout.  Remember the china bubble is growing bigger and bigger and has to burst at some point. It will affect things here and double dip could be possible if these things happen. 
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Vulcanl
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« Reply #9 on: 14 June 2010, 14:00:00 pm »
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5-10% decline is just not that big a deal....this is a non-story
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yeah sure
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« Reply #10 on: 14 June 2010, 14:13:46 pm »
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Except for the fools queuing up to "invest" their life savings on an "up always can" dogbox where they then lose their entire equity.

No biggy.

Why are you still even here, have you not noticed everyone, including the "love you man" Kubes thinks you are a fool.
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Vulcanl
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« Reply #11 on: 14 June 2010, 22:06:00 pm »
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Yeah Sure,

Are you REALLY sure you want to hold up Kubes as the expert on SG property?  Cheesy

He's been wrong on just about every call!  Tongue

Indeed SG property is a sound investment at this time.  Demand is ample and solid, and supply is well-managed here (btw Kubes: what ever happened to that collapse that you had expected would take place by now due to all those DPS units coming online??!?!  Shocked)

Over the past few years I have seen countless 'expat' know-nothings spouting nonsense at every turn, coming up with every rationale in the Universe as to why SG property mkt will collapse.  It didn't during the worst financial crisis in a generation....and it won't now.

p.s.  Kubes:  You're still #1 in my book, man.  Peace,
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asian crisis?
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« Reply #12 on: 14 June 2010, 22:09:44 pm »
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Yeah Sure,

Are you REALLY sure you want to hold up Kubes as the expert on SG property?  Cheesy

He's been wrong on just about every call!  Tongue

Indeed SG property is a sound investment at this time.  Demand is ample and solid, and supply is well-managed here (btw Kubes: what ever happened to that collapse that you had expected would take place by now due to all those DPS units coming online??!?!  Shocked)

Over the past few years I have seen countless 'expat' know-nothings spouting nonsense at every turn, coming up with every rationale in the Universe as to why SG property mkt will collapse.  It didn't during the worst financial crisis in a generation....and it won't now.

p.s.  Kubes:  You're still #1 in my book, man.  Peace,

 But it did during the 1997 Asian crisis.  Prices collapsed literally overnight.  Your memory is short.
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Vulcanl
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« Reply #13 on: 14 June 2010, 22:14:13 pm »
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pp,

If you have read any of my posts here you will know that my opinion is that the AFC of 1997 was a catalyst for fundamental change in Asia. Governments here swallowed a bitter pill, learned from their mistakes and instituted sound economic and fiscal policies that positioned them well for what was to come (namely the GFC of 2008).

In short, Asia learned its lesson.  This is clear from what we have seen the past 18 months of so.  The West is in tatters, and Asia is booming. 

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Kubes.SG
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« Reply #14 on: 14 June 2010, 23:14:29 pm »
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V.  I have been 100% all the completed predictions I have made.   That is a fact.   The fat lady has not sung yet for the Singapore property market.
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The object in life is not to be on the side of the Majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the Insane.
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